No, not Meatloaf lyrics. A few years ago, I guessed that the HPC market was going to bifurcate or possibly trifurcate. Well, its about 3 years on, and bifurcate it did.
Accelerators (in the form of GPUs) are everywhere. I was dead on correct in almost every aspect of what I had predicted (privately to VCs, from whom we couldn’t raise a cent in the early/mid 2000’s for this market).
Remote cluster/clouds with dropping prices per CPU hour are taking over sections of HPC, and we see some impact upon purchase decisions made by people buying clusters. Buy what you will use day to day, and buy the extra cycles you need when you need em. Just in time cycle acquisition.
Got these right. And yes, we even tried raising money for the cloud bit in 2005/2006. This time from a (short sighted) state program and VCs. Had a large customer lined up, had a VC willing to chip in, just needed the state program to agree to this.
That state program is now generally seen as an abject failure in its previous incarnation … it was supposed to help start up companies with good ideas, VCs, and likely customers. Go figure.
Of course, I got some things wrong.
I guessed that “muscular desktops” and “personal supercomputers” would become the norm.
Boy was I wrong.
Desktops, the ones that people bought, were cheap units for the most part. The big powerful supercomputer in a deskside chassis? Not selling so much. More than 8 processor cores and more than 16 GB ram? Not so interesting to people.
I had bet they were, and we built the Pegasus deskside units around them. These are basically very powerful computers with many cores, huge amounts of ram, accelerators, IO, networking, and graphics.